When putting this article together this week, I couldn’t help but think to myself that there are a lot of team total-related trends here — just one of those weeks in the latest NFL odds, I guess.
Team totals aren’t an incredibly popular betting market, but maybe they should be, because it’s an easier handicap if you think about it. When betting a team total, you’re simply narrowing your analysis down to an offense vs. a defense, which eliminates a lot of factors that are involved in a traditional full-game bet.
I usually have at least one team total on my card this week, but I’ll likely set a personal record for the amount I play in Week 16 odds — what could go wrong?
Enough about me though. Taking a look at league-wide NFL betting trends, Week 15 belonged to home teams who went 11-4-1 ATS. Perhaps late-season travel is starting to take a toll while unfamiliar weather conditions might keep some teams from playing their best.
Don’t read too much into one week though, it’s just something to monitor (and perhaps act on) in the final weeks of the regular season.
Best of luck with your NFL picks this week and Happy Holidays!
